DCA BTC & ETH based on Risk

Discover Stress-Free investing and improve your returns with Risk-Based DCA.

You can't predict the market.
Neither can we.

But we can make sense of the present. That’s how we’re taking DCA to the next level.

Stress-free investing

Stay objective and make confident decisions when it matters the most by sticking to your personal Risk Strategy.

What is risk?

Risk is a score between 0 and 100 that represents the market’s pulse.
Computed by machine learning, our Risk Model distills vast market data into an easy-to-understand score.

Note! We do not retrofit any data. Risk levels calculated daily since 2021 remain unaltered historically.

Key Benefits

Filter out the noise and take confident decisions

The image displays the simplicity of our risk gauge.
Effortless and objective - Let our Risk Model do the heavy lifting
The image displays the performance of the indicator in the bullrun of 2021 where the Model Risk confidently called the top at $61'195 with a risk level of 99.
Should I take profits? Stay confident with Risk-based DCA and Risk-alerts
The image displays DCA vs DDCA performance over the past 3 years
The risk-based DCA strategy is proven to outperform regular DCA since 2021

Worry less. Accumulate more.

Test how Risk-based DCA drastically improves your returns and BTC accumulation.

Strategy % Profit Final Wealth in Dollars Final Wealth in BTC Amount Invested
Risk-based DCA - - - -
DCA/HODL - - - -

Visit us on a desktop device for enhanced chart visuals and comprehensive results.

The minds behind

Initially, the Risk Model was in our private toolbox. What began as an experiment in exploiting risk identification , rather than predicting prices, yielded impressive results.

Seeing the potential for a much wider application in finance than we initially anticipated, we felt compelled to share it with the world.

Alessandro Parini
Alessandro Parini
University of Basel
Axel Wikner
Axel Wikner
BA & Data Scientist

The Risk Model

Get started for free
14 Day Trial
BTC & ETH Risk Model
Risk Notifications
Strategy Backtesting
API Access
BTC & ETH Risk Model
Risk Notifications
Strategy Backtesting
API Access
BTC & ETH Risk Model
Risk Notifications
Strategy Backtesting
API Access
17% off monthly
BTC & ETH Risk Model
Risk Notifications
Strategy Backtesting
API Access
In doubt?

Our FAQ has you covered.

Multifactorial Design & Input Variables
The Risk Model is multifactorial, meaning it considers vast amount market factors and data points to compute the risk. Some key attributes include asset growth models for capturing asset-specific patterns, regression to model time and seasonality, and traditional TA metrics for price-based classification.

Self-Adjusting Mechanism
The model is self-adjusting, updating and refining itself daily as new data becomes available. This continuous improvement enhances its accuracy and confidence level over time. The algorithm is powered by a range of techniques including data analysis, statistical modeling, and automation.

Historical vs. Live Data
It’s crucial to understand that while the algorithm improves daily, the historical risk levels reflect the data shown on our live risk meter for each specific day. The model is not retrofitted or predictive; it classifies the current price on a daily basis.

Naturally, the exact mathematical components of our model remain proprietary. However, you can dive a lot deeper into its build, input variables, and other attributes in our whitepaper.

Proof of Profit (PoP) Framework

Before publishing any metrics or indicators, we subject them to our rigorous testing environment known as Proof of Profit (PoP). As a member, you gain access to detailed and interactive charts that show how our Risk Model has performed historically.

  1. Dataset Optimization
    The first step in PoP involves meticulous dataset sourcing and comparison. We prioritize reliable and diverse datasets while mitigating challenges like multicollinearity, biased data, and potential data gaps.

  2. Backtesting & Benchmarking
    Our model undergoes extensive backtesting, benchmarked against three widely recognized trading and investing strategies: HODL, DCA, and a trend-following strategy. You can view these backtesting results in our whitepaper.

  3. Forward-and Stress Testing
    The model is subjected to various simulated scenarios and stressful environments to evaluate its resilience. This step allows us to assess how the model performs under a wide variety of future price trajectories. AlphaSquared is the only platform in the crypto space currently offering this level of forward-testing capabilities. You can inspect this approach in our Whitepaper.

The Risk Model is very intuitive to use. Put simply, the lower the risk level, the more advisable it is to buy. The higher the risk, the more advisable it is to sell.

By using our Dynamic Dollar Cost Averaging approach (DDCA), you adjust the size of your investment based on the risk level provided by The Risk Model. The lower the risk, the more you buy, and the higher the risk, the more you sell, or simply invest less. As an AlphaSquared member, you gain exclusive access to pre-configured, ready-to-use DDCA strategies tailored to various risk tolerances. 

Personally, we use our Risk Model and DDCA as standalone tools. However, the risk identification provided by the Risk Model also serves as a great starting point for executing other strategies.

We do have an Ethereum Risk Model / Metric available and plan to expand our offerings to other Assets and Indices such as the S&P500 and more!

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Gain access to our telegram channel, where you can connect with like-minded crypto enthusiasts, share insights and get early access to new features and updates.

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We offer a 14 day free trial with no strings attached and no credit card needed.
See what AlphaSquared has to offer!